[retratação] POLÍTICAS PÚBLICAS EFICIENTES PARA O NOVO CORONAVÍRUS NO MUNDO

Abstract

Coronavirus (COVID 19) is a pandemic and, among its characteristics, two stand out: its morbidity above the average of viruses and its media capacity. In Brazil, the word “coronavirus”, between the 15th and 21st of March, reached the index 100 on a scale of 0 to 100 on Google trends, in Italy it had an index of 64, in the United Kingdom 61, in the United Arab Emirates 52, in France 50, in the United States 48, in Singapore 31, in Sweden 19, in Japan 12, in South Korea 8 and, there are no data on China. The response to the pandemic was regional, each country or, in some cases, each state, province, and city reacted differently to the same challenge. This study looks at the effect of government actions in each country. In a quantitative analysis, using official data, it was verified the number of infected and deaths, the restrictions imposed and, at the same time, the effects of it on the level of economic activity in these countries, such as market values. In addition, it was investigated the correlation between effect and cause, in the first quarter of 2020, in the above countries. It was found a strong relation between quarantine and acute recessions, but not between quarantine and a decreased Coronavirus progression. We conclude that there is a need for an in-depth debate about health systems, information shared between countries and the way COVID 19 could be seen in economic statistics for decades, as it happened with World War I, the Spanish flu and World War II, however, without the global demographic impact characteristic of these three events.